Now live: Market Alpha v2, the market context behind every setup on the board.

One board, six columns, fixed rules.

A coin only moves right when a written rule says it has passed a checkpoint. Here is every column, the rule that moves a coin into it, and what you see when it does.

  1. 1

    Watching

    The watchlist engine, once a week

    Every liquid USDT pair is checked for a long-term structure it can break out of: a base, a range, a falling wedge, a descending resistance over flat support, or higher lows pressing into resistance. Channels heading down and rising wedges are rejected.

    Needs at least two touches on each line, more than a year of daily history (400 days), $1M of daily volume, and a measured target at least three times the risk.
  2. 2

    Near trigger

    Price approaching the zone

    The breakout zone sits on the resistance line, projected to today. When price comes within reach of it, the coin moves up the board so you can watch the close.

    Within 8% of the breakout zone, before any breakout has happened.
  3. 3

    Breakout

    A daily close, not a wick

    The structure has done what it was being watched for. The Radar records the exact close, how far above the line it was and how much volume came with it.

    Daily close above the projected resistance plus half a daily ATR, on volume at least equal to its 20-day average. Every breakout is kept, including the ones that later fail.
  4. 4

    Scanner

    A concrete setup on the 4-hour chart

    Four scanners look for support and resistance breaks, divergences, fair value gaps and harmonic patterns. A scanner signal after a breakout is what turns a structure into something you could act on.

    A signal in the same direction, closing within three days after the breakout.
  5. 5

    Confluence

    Everything pointing the same way

    The setup agrees with the BTC trend and has independent support from the context checks: taker flow, volatility, relative strength against BTC and funding.

    With the BTC 4-hour trend, three or more supporting context checks, and no opposing ones.
  6. 6

    Trade plan

    Entry, stop, targets, invalidation

    The structure's entry zone and the scanner's entry zone have to overlap. The stop comes from the structure, the targets from its measured move. When the zones don't meet, the card says “No valid entry” and shows no levels at all.

    Overlapping zones, a structural stop, and a second target at least three times the risk.

A coin can also fall off the board. If price closes below the structure's stop, the strip is crossed out and marked invalidated, with the close that did it.

The market reading sits above the board.

Market Alpha doesn't move coins between columns. It tells you what kind of market they are moving in, and warns you when that is changing.

ReadingWhat it meansWhat it watches for
HealthyMost of BTC trend, breadth, altcoin strength, dominance, macro and volatility are supportive.Warnings when the reading falls two points in three days, BTC closes below its 50-day average, or breadth drops under half.
FragileThe supports are thinning. Setups still appear, with less behind them.Recovery of the families above, or a further slide into risk-off.
Risk-offMore families are working against the market than for it.BTC back above its average with breadth recovering.
StressBroad and fast deterioration, often with volatility and macro stress at once.A move back to neutral or better is shown as a recovery.

Follow a coin across the board.